Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 1230.158845 1397.985501 1584.496286 1807.877367 2069.105175 2366.073575 2730.856193
2025-09-14 942.516192 1154.242862 1411.260319 1749.133174 2185.896100 2737.321670 3495.579441
2025-09-21 788.543175 1012.107739 1299.150663 1700.045439 2254.007434 3005.273026 4123.481519
2025-09-28 676.551893 900.707197 1201.462938 1642.297431 2285.310536 3210.455139 4682.712274
2025-10-05 627.644167 864.116231 1194.574390 1701.374430 2479.628664 3665.191629 5680.395753
2025-10-12 579.313130 820.797472 1170.285331 1727.831685 2623.801279 4060.411531 6653.783473
2025-10-19 537.483652 781.214604 1145.172146 1746.879407 2754.848679 4449.668022 7687.855153
2025-10-26 501.424567 745.851845 1121.406508 1762.990378 2880.120816 4844.449548 8807.160311
2025-11-02 477.364351 726.130615 1119.098679 1812.401566 3066.783989 5373.854420 10293.367923
2025-11-09 450.289848 698.695153 1100.922054 1831.433290 3200.042302 5823.484310 11715.129488
2025-11-16 424.832843 671.363465 1079.788444 1841.867994 3317.226375 6258.734990 13203.388909
2025-11-23 403.515452 648.910749 1064.465358 1860.350096 3451.206121 6748.285725 14931.236886
2025-11-30 385.514135 631.368292 1057.375873 1896.083904 3630.639848 7378.797212 17203.815970
2025-12-07 355.550284 590.652657 1005.439330 1840.037730 3613.593218 7577.010215 18440.378615
2025-12-14 329.262292 554.297139 958.071366 1787.334235 3595.479579 7768.166783 19710.129786
2025-12-21 304.478741 518.770641 909.193332 1726.166723 3550.105887 7886.401443 20809.452296
2025-12-28 297.294194 514.884481 919.685170 1788.801863 3793.728177 8762.987872 24448.069925
2026-01-04 286.507187 503.366880 914.288844 1816.863519 3960.748484 9477.978540 27834.622181
2026-01-11 275.662812 490.878517 905.806309 1837.068444 4111.775563 10182.005084 31448.148604
2026-01-18 265.293389 478.513583 896.454131 1854.160040 4257.669562 10903.479115 35410.103282
2026-01-25 259.073261 473.798463 902.286088 1906.588653 4502.966998 11969.967464 41137.551713
2026-02-01 250.207471 463.143038 894.772866 1926.786551 4666.087469 12827.063525 46423.918832
2026-02-08 241.124581 451.404885 883.973320 1937.861566 4806.244851 13646.158398 51947.278070